{"id":2423,"date":"2026-06-18T09:20:58","date_gmt":"2026-06-18T02:20:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/grasslandvn.com\/?p=2423"},"modified":"2026-06-18T09:20:58","modified_gmt":"2026-06-18T02:20:58","slug":"el-nino-manh-nhat-tu-1950-can-luong-hoa-anh-huong-doi-voi-tang-truong-kinh-te","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/grasslandvn.com\/?p=2423","title":{"rendered":"El Nino m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb 1950: C\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u00f3a \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n El Nino v\u1edbi c\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed9 r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh l\u00e0 kho\u1ea3ng 60-65% v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ee3t El Nino n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 n\u1eb1m trong nh\u00f3m c\u00f3 c\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed9 m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 1950 \u0111\u1ebfn nay.<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n

Theo Ph\u00f3 C\u1ee5c tr\u01b0\u1edfng C\u1ee5c Kh\u00ed t\u01b0\u1ee3ng Th\u1ee7y v\u0103n, b\u00e0 \u0110\u1eb7ng Thanh Mai, hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng El Nino \u0111\u00e3 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh tr\u00ean khu v\u1ef1c x\u00edch \u0111\u1ea1o trung t\u00e2m Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 \u0111ang c\u00f3 xu th\u1ebf ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n m\u1ea1nh trong nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ng t\u1edbi. C\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o kh\u00ed h\u1eadu trong n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf cho th\u1ea5y El Nino g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn s\u1ebd duy tr\u00ec t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 6, ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean trong n\u1eeda cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2026 v\u00e0 c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i sang \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2027.<\/p>\n

Trung t\u00e2m D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o Kh\u00ed t\u01b0\u1ee3ng Th\u1ee7y v\u0103n qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u00e3 theo d\u00f5i hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng El Nino t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m v\u00e0 t\u1eeb gi\u1eefa th\u00e1ng 4 \u0111\u00e3 g\u1eedi th\u00f4ng tin c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o ban \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1edbi c\u00e1c b\u1ed9, ng\u00e0nh v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng ph\u00f3. C\u00e1c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7n nay cho th\u1ea5y x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n El Nino v\u1edbi c\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed9 r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh kho\u1ea3ng 60-65%, c\u00f3 di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 n\u0103m 2023 v\u00e0 c\u00f3 c\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed9 t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n El Nino 2015-2016. Th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 n\u1eb1m trong nh\u00f3m c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t El Nino m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 1950.<\/p>\n

\"El
H\u1ea1n h\u00e1n \u1edf L\u00e2m \u0110\u1ed3ng n\u0103m 2020. \u1ea2nh:\u00a0Vi\u1ec7t Qu\u1ed1c<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

N\u1ebfu k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n El Nino r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh x\u1ea3y ra, Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n nhi\u1ec7t cao h\u01a1n trung b\u00ecnh nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m, s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ee3t kh\u00f4ng kh\u00ed l\u1ea1nh gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u01b0a thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t tr\u00ean di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t t\u1ea1i Trung B\u1ed9, T\u00e2y Nguy\u00ean v\u00e0 Nam B\u1ed9.<\/p>\n

D\u00f9 s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u00e3o v\u00e0 \u00e1p th\u1ea5p nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1edbi \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn Vi\u1ec7t Nam th\u01b0\u1eddng \u00edt h\u01a1n trong c\u00e1c n\u0103m El Nino, nh\u01b0ng b\u00e0 Mai l\u01b0u \u00fd v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c c\u01a1n b\u00e3o r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 g\u00e2y thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i l\u1edbn. Do v\u1eady kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ch\u1ee7 quan v\u1edbi nguy c\u01a1 thi\u00ean tai trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u01b0a tr\u00ean nhi\u1ec1u khu v\u1ef1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t 25-50%, r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t nh\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i duy\u00ean h\u1ea3i Nam Trung B\u1ed9, T\u00e2y Nguy\u00ean v\u00e0 Nam B\u1ed9 l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng nguy c\u01a1 h\u1ea1n h\u00e1n, thi\u1ebfu n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 x\u00e2m nh\u1eadp m\u1eb7n trong c\u00e1c th\u00e1ng cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2026 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2027. Nguy c\u01a1 x\u1ea3y ra kh\u00f4 h\u1ea1n c\u1ee5c b\u1ed9 ho\u1eb7c tr\u00ean di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng r\u1ea5t cao, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t t\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng khu v\u1ef1c c\u00f3 nhu c\u1ea7u s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u1edbn cho s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 sinh ho\u1ea1t.<\/p>\n

D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o trong c\u00e1c th\u00e1ng cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2026, nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 trung b\u00ecnh c\u1ea3 n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 cao h\u01a1n trung b\u00ecnh nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m 0,5-1,5 \u0111\u1ed9 C; giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u00e1ng 10-12 c\u00f3 n\u01a1i cao h\u01a1n 1-2 \u0111\u1ed9 C. B\u1eafc B\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Trung B\u1ed9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ee3t n\u1eafng n\u00f3ng h\u01a1n b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed ghi nh\u1eadn c\u00e1c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 v\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u1ecbch s\u1eed.<\/p>\n

C\u1ee5c Kh\u00ed t\u01b0\u1ee3ng Th\u1ee7y v\u0103n c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 li\u00ean t\u1ee5c c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt th\u00f4ng tin v\u1ec1 El Nino g\u1eedi c\u00e1c c\u01a1 quan b\u00e1o ch\u00ed. D\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn trong th\u00e1ng 6, C\u1ee5c s\u1ebd t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c h\u1ed9i th\u1ea3o d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o s\u1edbm kh\u00ed t\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u1ee7y v\u0103n, thi\u00ean tai n\u0103m 2025, trong \u0111\u00f3 tr\u1ecdng t\u00e2m th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 El Nino v\u00e0 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng li\u00ean quan t\u1edbi c\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng.<\/p>\n

Tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh El Nino, Th\u1ee9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng L\u00ea C\u00f4ng Th\u00e0nh cho r\u1eb1ng c\u1ea7n t\u00ecm gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p nh\u1eb1m gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i kinh t\u1ebf s\u00e2u r\u1ed9ng cho c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n ra c\u00e1c c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1edbi ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i m\u00e0 ng\u00e0nh kh\u00ed t\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u1ee7y v\u0103n ch\u01b0a ch\u1ea1m t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

\"El
Th\u1ee9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng L\u00ea C\u00f4ng Th\u00e0nh nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a El Nino s\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p cho m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng hai con s\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc. \u1ea2nh:\u00a0Trung Nguy\u00ean.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Th\u1ee9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng L\u00ea C\u00f4ng Th\u00e0nh nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh, vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a El Nino \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng ra sao \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh kinh t\u1ebf s\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn cho m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng hai con s\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc. Do \u0111\u00f3, C\u1ee5c Kh\u00ed t\u01b0\u1ee3ng Th\u1ee7y v\u0103n c\u1ea7n nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i kh\u00ed h\u1eadu nh\u1eb1m l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u00f3a \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a El Nino \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf, an ninh ngu\u1ed3n n\u01b0\u1edbc, s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng d\u00e2n sinh. K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u s\u1ebd l\u00e0 c\u01a1 s\u1edf \u0111\u1ec3 tham m\u01b0u B\u1ed9 N\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 M\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch \u1ee9ng ph\u00f3 c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0nh, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 ban h\u00e0nh c\u00e1c ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng li\u00ean ng\u00e0nh nh\u1eb1m gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i t\u1eeb c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n kh\u00ed h\u1eadu b\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng Th\u00e0nh l\u1ea5y v\u00ed d\u1ee5, \u0111\u1ee3t El Nino l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y s\u1ebd \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1ebf n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u00e0 ph\u00ea \u1edf Vi\u1ec7t Nam, s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u00e0 ph\u00ea \u1edf Brazil v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 n\u01b0\u1edbc xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u00e0 ph\u00ea l\u1edbn tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. El Nino g\u00e2y h\u1ea1n h\u00e1n di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng l\u00e0m s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00f4ng s\u1ea3n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, n\u1ebfu Vi\u1ec7t Nam d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1edbm v\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u00e1c gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1eef v\u1eefng v\u00f9ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t, ch\u00fang ta s\u1ebd c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf l\u1edbn khi gi\u00e1 g\u1ea1o, gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi t\u0103ng cao, t\u1ea1o b\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ed9t ph\u00e1 trong th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i n\u00f4ng s\u1ea3n. M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, xu th\u1ebf \u00edt m\u01b0a do El Nino c\u0169ng l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea9y nhanh ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng tr\u00ecnh h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng tr\u1ecdng \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a qu\u1ed1c gia, c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 l\u00e2u d\u00e0i, Th\u1ee9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng ng\u00e0nh KTTV c\u1ea7n x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o s\u1edbm c\u00e1c t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf – x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u00ed h\u1eadu quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn nh\u01b0 El Nino v\u00e0 La Nina. Qua \u0111\u00f3, ng\u00e0nh KTTV s\u1ebd t\u1eebng b\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb cung c\u1ea5p th\u00f4ng tin n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng ph\u1ee5c v\u1ee5 qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro kh\u00ed h\u1eadu v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u201cd\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 kh\u00ed h\u1eadu\u201d \u0111\u00fang ngh\u0129a t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam, m\u1ed9t l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c m\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u00e3 tri\u1ec3n khai r\u1ea5t th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c Kh\u00ed t\u01b0\u1ee3ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi (WMO) \u0111\u00fac k\u1ebft b\u00e0i b\u1ea3n trong c\u00e1c t\u00e0i li\u1ec7u chuy\u00ean ng\u00e0nh.<\/p>\n

Ngu\u1ed3n: https:\/\/kinhtemoitruong.vn\/<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n El Nino v\u1edbi c\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed9 r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh l\u00e0 kho\u1ea3ng 60-65% v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ee3t El Nino n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 n\u1eb1m trong nh\u00f3m c\u00f3 c\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed9 m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 1950 \u0111\u1ebfn nay. Theo Ph\u00f3 C\u1ee5c tr\u01b0\u1edfng C\u1ee5c Kh\u00ed t\u01b0\u1ee3ng Th\u1ee7y v\u0103n, b\u00e0 \u0110\u1eb7ng Thanh Mai, hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng El Nino \u0111\u00e3 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2424,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2423","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tin-tuc"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/grasslandvn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2423","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/grasslandvn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/grasslandvn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/grasslandvn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/grasslandvn.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2423"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/grasslandvn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2423\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2425,"href":"https:\/\/grasslandvn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2423\/revisions\/2425"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/grasslandvn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2424"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/grasslandvn.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2423"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/grasslandvn.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2423"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/grasslandvn.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2423"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}